I. J. Good
In plain wordsA British statistician who broke codes with Alan Turing and in 1965 argued that a machine smarter than us could design still smarter machines, setting off an 'intelligence explosion'.
British-born statistician, a prolific Bayesian, whose career began in wartime codebreaking: as a young cryptanalyst under Alan TuringAlan Turing, prop. n.: A British mathematician who worked out what computers can do in principle, helped break German codes in the Second World War, and proposed the best-known test of machine intelligence. at Bletchley Park he attacked the German Enigma cipher, and he later worked on the Lorenz teleprinter cipher. Building on an idea of Turing's from that work, he published Good–Turing frequency estimation (1953), a way to estimate the probability of events never yet observed that was later widely used to smooth n-gramn-gram model, n.: An early type of language model that predicts the next word from just the few words before it, using counts of how often each word followed those words in a large collection of text. language modelslanguage model, n.: A system that has learned how likely different sequences of words are, so it can predict the next word in a text and, by doing that repeatedly, write text of its own.. After posts at Manchester, the British signals agency GCHQ and Oxford, he moved to Virginia Tech in 1967. His essay 'Speculations Concerning the First Ultraintelligent Machine' (1965) defined an ultraintelligent machineultraintelligent machine, n.: I. J. Good's 1965 name for a machine smarter than any person at every kind of thinking, which could therefore build machines smarter than itself. as one that surpasses all human intellectual activities and argued that, since designing machines is one of them, it could design better machines, producing an intelligence explosionintelligence explosion, n.: The idea that once AI gets good enough at improving AI, each smarter version could build a smarter one faster still, so abilities would snowball far beyond human level in a short time.; hence 'the first ultraintelligent machine is the last invention that man need ever make'. He advised Stanley Kubrick on '2001: A Space Odyssey'.
Related
- ultraintelligent machineultraintelligent machine, n.: I. J. Good's 1965 name for a machine smarter than any person at every kind of thinking, which could therefore build machines smarter than itself.
- intelligence explosionintelligence explosion, n.: The idea that once AI gets good enough at improving AI, each smarter version could build a smarter one faster still, so abilities would snowball far beyond human level in a short time.
- technological singularitytechnological singularity, n.: A moment some people expect in the future when technology, usually AI smarter than us, starts changing the world so fast and so deeply that we cannot see past it.
- recursive self-improvementrecursive self-improvement, n.: An AI improving its own design or training, so that each improved version is better at making the next improvement. It is the engine usually imagined behind an intelligence explosion.
- Alan TuringAlan Turing, prop. n.: A British mathematician who worked out what computers can do in principle, helped break German codes in the Second World War, and proposed the best-known test of machine intelligence.
- Bayesian inferenceBayesian inference, n.: Reasoning that treats unknowns as uncertain beliefs and updates them with evidence using Bayes' theorem. The result is not one answer but a range of answers, each with a probability.
Sources
- Good, I. J. (1953). The Population Frequencies of Species and the Estimation of Population Parameters. Biometrika 40(3–4): 237–264.
- Good, I. J. (1965). Speculations Concerning the First Ultraintelligent Machine. Advances in Computers 6: 31–88.
Mentioned in
Alan TuringAlan Turing, prop. n.: A British mathematician who worked out what computers can do in principle, helped break German codes in the Second World War, and proposed the best-known test of machine intelligence., Vernor VingeVernor Vinge, prop. n.: An American science-fiction author and mathematics professor who popularized the 'technological singularity': a coming point when smarter-than-human minds change the world so fast that no one can foresee what follows., Donald MichieDonald Michie, prop. n.: A British codebreaker turned AI pioneer who built a game-playing learning machine out of matchboxes and founded Edinburgh's influential machine-intelligence research group., ultraintelligent machineultraintelligent machine, n.: I. J. Good's 1965 name for a machine smarter than any person at every kind of thinking, which could therefore build machines smarter than itself.